Abstract: As the development of pumped storage power plants in China, the real time safety evaluation of hydraulic structures is of great importance. By analysis on the main problems in safety monitoring, the production expert system is adopted. Combined with latest software technology, comprehensive analysis and reasoning system for hydraulic structures of pumped storage power plants is developed. The paper introduced the technology, method and related models used as well as the functions realized. By application of optimized statistic mathematic model and production expert system, the safety performance of hydraulic structures can be analyzed and evaluated quickly, which is worthy reference.

Key words: pumped storage power plant, safety monitoring, comprehensive analysis and reasoning, hydraulic structure

摘要： 随着我国抽水蓄能电站的建设，对抽水蓄能电站水工建筑物进行实时安全评价是电站安全运行的重要保障。通过对抽水蓄能电站水工建筑物安全监测主要问题的分析，采用产生式专家系统方法，结合最新的计算机软件技术，对抽水蓄能电站水工建筑物安全综合分析推理系统进行了研究开发，介绍采用的技术路线、方法和有关模型，系统实现的有关功能模块。采用改进的统计数学模型并结合产生式专家系统方法的抽水蓄能电站水工建筑物安全综合分析推理系统可以对水工建筑物安全性态进行快速分析评价。

关键词: 抽水蓄能电站, 安全监测, 综合分析推理, 水工建筑物