ISSN 1671-1092 CN 33-1260/TK

大坝与安全 ›› 2026 ›› Issue (3): 1-.

• 运行管理 •    下一篇

水电站大坝运行性态过程监控理念和方法

孙辅庭,周建波   

  1. 国家能源局大坝安全监察中心,浙江 杭州,311122
  • 收稿日期:2026-03-19 出版日期:2026-06-30 发布日期:2026-07-09
  • 作者简介:孙辅庭(1987— ),男,浙江杭州人,博士,正高级工程师,主要从事水电站大坝长期安全性能演化、水工结构安全评价、人工智能技术融合创新相关的研究和应用。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划(2021YFC3090100)

Concept and method of full process monitoring of operational behavior of hydropower dams

SUN Futing and ZHOU Jianbo   

  1. Large Dam Safety Supervision Center, National Energy Administration
  • Received:2026-03-19 Online:2026-06-30 Published:2026-07-09

摘要: 针对水电站大坝运行性态监控问题,基于工程案例分析和理论分析建立了过程监控理念和方法。首先,基于国内外大坝事故案例和损伤理论,分析结构异常发生发展过程中的大坝宏观响应,得到大坝失效全过程运行性态演化规律;在此基础上,将发展模式监控和运行状态监控相结合,建立以异常特征全过程精准描述为核心的过程监控理念;最后,构建由变化模式和特征监控阈值组成的监控指标体系,提出大坝运行监控状态方程和三级预警规则体系。工程案例分析表明,基于过程监控理念的监控预警方法具备精准识别大坝运行异常典型阶段的能力,且预警点可较传统方法靠前,能够有效提升水电站大坝运行安全风险防控和应急处置水平。

关键词: 水电站大坝, 监控预警, 全过程监控, 大坝安全, 风险防控, 人工智能

Abstract: Aiming at issues in operational behavior monitoring of large hydropower dams, the full process monitoring concept and methodology are developed based on case analysis and theoretical analysis. Firstly, by review of dam failure cases and damage theories, the macroscopic responses of dams during the initiation and development of structural anomalies are analyzed, revealing the evolution patterns of operational behavior throughout the entire dam failure process. On this basis, by integrating pattern monitoring with operational status monitoring, the full process monitoring concept is established, with precise characterization of the full-process anomaly features as its core. Finally, a monitoring indicator system comprising change patterns and features monitoring thresholds is constructed, and a state equation for dam operational behavior monitoring is proposed, along with a three-level early warning rule system. Case analysis demonstrates that the monitoring and early warning method based on the full process monitoring concept can accurately identify the anomalous stages of dam operation, with warning points occurring earlier compared to traditional methods, thereby effectively enhancing the risk prevention, control, and emergency response capabilities of large hydropower dams in operation.

Key words: hydropower dams, monitoring and warning, full process monitoring, dam safety, risk prevention and control, artificial intelligence

中图分类号: