关键词: 水库改造项目, 专项债券融资, 模糊层次分析法, 进度风险管理

Abstract: In view of the construction characteristics of water conservancy projects and the particularity of the funds source, to ensure the smooth progress of the project construction by the schedule plan, this paper mainly studies the construction schedule risk of reservoir renovation project under the special-purpose bond financing mode, and identifies the risk factors causing the project schedule delay by constructing the WBS-RBS risk matrix. Based on the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, the influence weight of each risk factor is determined and the risk degree of the overall project progress is evaluated, so as to distinguish the primary and secondary influencing factors, put forward countermeasures, reduce the possibility of risk occurrence and lower the degree of impact, which provides a guarantee for the project to win the subsequent bond funds, complete on schedule and put into operation in time.

Key words: reservoir renovation, special-purpose bond financing, fuzzy analytic hierarchy process,  , schedule risk management