大坝与安全 ›› 2018 ›› Issue (6): 7-14.
• 运行管理 • 上一篇 下一篇
范振东
收稿日期:
修回日期:
出版日期:
发布日期:
作者简介:
FAN Zhen-dong
Received:
Revised:
Online:
Published:
摘要： 对大坝运行寿命进行评估有助于监测大坝的运行状态，为决策者合理安排除险加固工作提供参考依据。基于大坝实测资料，探索了大坝运行风险度及时变特性的评估方法，建立了用于表征大坝运行风险度及时变特征的Markov简化模型和转异判据，为合理确定大坝工程除险加固时间提供了一定的支持。
关键词: 运行风险度, 马尔科夫链, 大坝运行寿命
Abstract: Assessment of the dam operation life is helpful to monitor the dam operation status and to provide a reference for decision makers to rationally arrange the work of risk removal and reinforcement. Based on measured data, the evaluation methods of dam operation risk degree and time variant characteristics were discussed. Simplified Markov model and variation criterion which could represent the dam operation risk degree and time variant characteristics were put up, which could provide a certain reference for reinforcement.
Key words: operation risk, Markov chain, dam operation life
范振东. 基于运行风险度与马尔科夫链的大坝运行寿命评估[J]. 大坝与安全, 2018, 0(6): 7-14.
FAN Zhen-dong. Dam operation life assessment based on dam operation risk and Markov chain[J]. Dam & Safety, 2018, 0(6): 7-14.
0 / / 推荐
导出引用管理器 EndNote|Ris|BibTeX
链接本文: http://magtech.dam.com.cn/CN/
http://magtech.dam.com.cn/CN/Y2018/V0/I6/7
