摘要： 根据资料对新疆已发生溃坝的水库进行了溃坝原因和溃坝概率统计分析，并结合水库溃坝实例总结了主要的溃坝原因，最后提出了合理运用工程措施和非工程措施来降低水库溃坝风险的对策。

Abstract: Based on statistics data on dam-break reasons and probability in Xinjiang and combined with examples, this article analysed cause reason for dam-break. Further, engineering and non-engineering counter-measures were advanced to decrease the risk.