ISSN 1671-1092 CN 33-1260/TK

大坝与安全 ›› 2026 ›› Issue (3): 48-.

• 资料分析 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于GA-BP神经网络模型的新疆某土石坝沉降预测研究

姚  健1,谭恺炎2,黄  蒙1,张新源1,胡  港1   

  1. 1. 中国葛洲坝集团股份有限公司勘测设计院,湖北 武汉,430030;2. 中国葛洲坝集团股份有限公司绿色智能建造研究院,湖北 武汉,430030
  • 收稿日期:2025-02-24 出版日期:2026-06-30 发布日期:2026-07-09
  • 作者简介:姚 健(1997— ),男,浙江衢州人,工程师,主要从事岩土设计工作。

Study on settlement prediction of an earth-rockfill dam in Xinjiang based on GA-BP neural network model#br#

YAO Jian, TAN Kaiyan, HUANG Meng, ZHANG Xinyuan and HU Gang   

  1. Gezhouba Group Co., Ltd. Survey and Design Institute
  • Received:2025-02-24 Online:2026-06-30 Published:2026-07-09

摘要: 通过构建一种基于遗传算法优化的BP神经网络(GA-BPNN)模型,对土石坝沉降进行预测。通过收集新疆某土石坝施工期间沉降原始监测数据,将测点数据转换成三维坐标上对应的沉降点,同时输入测点上部与下部填筑信息、时间参数作为神经网络学习数据。将遗传优化算法计算出的最佳适应度参数输出为神经网络的初始权值与阈值,以提高神经网络寻找全局最优解的效率。结果表明GA-BP神经网络预测土石坝沉降是可行的,GA-BPNN预测性能优于BPNN,稳定性更高,其结果也更接近真实值。

关键词: 土石坝, 沉降, 遗传算法, BP 神经网络

Abstract: This paper proposes a BP neural network model based on genetic algorithm optimization (GA-BPNN) to predict the settlement of earth-rockfill dams. Based on the collected settlement monitoring data of an earth-rockfill dam in Xinjiang, the corresponding settlement points in the three-dimensional coordinates are obtained. The filling information of the upper and lower dam body at the monitoring points, along with time parameters, is also input as training data for the neural network. The optimal fitness parameters calculated by the genetic optimization algorithm are used as the initial weights and thresholds for the neural network to improve its efficiency in finding the global optimal solution. The results indicate that the GA-BPNN is a viable method for predicting the settlement of earth-rockfill dams. The GA-BPNN demonstrates superior predictive performance compared to the BPNN, exhibits greater stability, and yields results that are closer to the actual values.

Key words: earth-rockfill dam, settlement, genetic algorithms, BPNN

中图分类号: